 |  |
|
Podczas uroczystości Jubileuszu 25. lecia Koronacji Obrazu Matki Boskiej Cierpliwie Słuchającej w Rokitnie, która odbyła się 21 czerwca 2014 r.
Fot. Henryk Jarmołowicz
|
|
|
<< Wstecz |
Dodaj nowy komentarz |
|
|
Trump’s former Commerce Secretary says the president is unlikely to enact blanket tariffs Trailer trucks queue to cross into the United States at the Otay Mesa Port of Entry, in Tijuana, Mexico, November 27, 2024. Jorge Duenes/Reuters
New York
CNN
—
[url=https://blsp2tor.com]блекспрут[/url]
Since President Donald Trump won the election in November, businesses across the globe have been bracing for higher tariffs — a key Day One promise the president made.
But over a week into his presidency, Trump has yet to enact any new tariffs.
[url=https://m-bs2bestat.ru]blacksprut2rprrt3aoigwh7zftiprzqyqynzz2eiimmwmykw7wkpyad onion[/url]
That could change, come 11:59 p.m. ET on Saturday — the deadline Trump set for when he says he will slap 25% tariffs on all Mexican and Canadian goods and a 10% tariff on all Chinese goods.
The tariffs, he said, will be imposed as a way of punishing the three nations, which Trump claims are responsible for helping people enter the country illegally and supplying fentanyl consumed in the US.
Speaking to reporters from the Oval Office on Thursday, Trump said he meant business, especially with his tariff threats on Mexico and Canada. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt also confirmed on Friday that Trump will levy the 10% tariff on China on Saturday.
[url=https://blsprut.tech]bs2best.at[/url]
Should these threats be believed? Yes and no, said Trump’s former Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross.
bs2best.at
https://blackspfgh3bi6im374fgl54qliir6to37txpkkd6ucfiu7whfy2odid.at
The threat of blanket tariffs is likely being overstated, Ross said in an interview with CNN. “There probably will be exclusions, because there are some goods that just are not made here, will not be made here, and therefore, there’s no particular point putting tariffs on.”
Ross, who was one of a handful of initial cabinet members in Trump’s first administration who kept their position for the entire four-year term, said he advocated for such exclusions when he advised Trump on tariff policies.
[url=https://bs-gl.cc]blacksprut2rprrt3aoigwh7zftiprzqyqynzz2eiimmwmykw7wkpyad.onion[/url] |
|
|
aya group вакансии Aya Group: Обзор и актуальные вакансии
[url=https://orabote.name/company/aya-group-kazan-otzyvy]aya group казань отзывы[/url]
Aya Group — это крупная компания, работающая в различных сферах бизнеса, включая консалтинг, строительство, инвестиции и другие направления. В Казани и других городах она известна как надежный работодатель и деловой партнер.
Вакансии в Aya Group
На официальных ресурсах и популярных платформах часто публикуются вакансии в Aya Group. Вакансии могут включать позиции в области менеджмента, строительства, финансов, IT и других сфер. Для поиска актуальных предложений рекомендуется посетить официальный сайт или крупные сайты по трудоустройству.
ИНН и регистрация
Aya Group зарегистрирована в соответствии с законодательством РФ, и у компании есть свой ИНН. Для получения точных данных о регистрации и юридической информации рекомендуется обратиться к официальным источникам или проверить через налоговые базы данных.
Отзывы о Aya Group в Казани
Отзывы о Aya Group Казань можно найти на различных платформах, таких как Отзовик, Яндекс.Отзывы и Google Reviews. В большинстве случаев отзывы касаются условий работы, уровня зарплат, корпоративной культуры и взаимодействия с клиентами.
Другие названия и связанные компании
Kaz Aya Group — возможно, это филиал или партнерская структура в Казахстане.
Aya Group Consulting — подразделение, специализирующееся на консалтинговых услугах.
Аяко Казань — локальный филиал или партнерская компания в Казани.
Айя Групп — альтернативное написание или транслитерация названия. |
|
|
aya group Aya Group: Обзор и актуальные вакансии
[url=https://orabote.name/company/aya-group-kazan-otzyvy]aya group инн[/url]
Aya Group — это крупная компания, работающая в различных сферах бизнеса, включая консалтинг, строительство, инвестиции и другие направления. В Казани и других городах она известна как надежный работодатель и деловой партнер.
Вакансии в Aya Group
На официальных ресурсах и популярных платформах часто публикуются вакансии в Aya Group. Вакансии могут включать позиции в области менеджмента, строительства, финансов, IT и других сфер. Для поиска актуальных предложений рекомендуется посетить официальный сайт или крупные сайты по трудоустройству.
ИНН и регистрация
Aya Group зарегистрирована в соответствии с законодательством РФ, и у компании есть свой ИНН. Для получения точных данных о регистрации и юридической информации рекомендуется обратиться к официальным источникам или проверить через налоговые базы данных.
Отзывы о Aya Group в Казани
Отзывы о Aya Group Казань можно найти на различных платформах, таких как Отзовик, Яндекс.Отзывы и Google Reviews. В большинстве случаев отзывы касаются условий работы, уровня зарплат, корпоративной культуры и взаимодействия с клиентами.
Другие названия и связанные компании
Kaz Aya Group — возможно, это филиал или партнерская структура в Казахстане.
Aya Group Consulting — подразделение, специализирующееся на консалтинговых услугах.
Аяко Казань — локальный филиал или партнерская компания в Казани.
Айя Групп — альтернативное написание или транслитерация названия. |
|
|
lido Lido Finance: Leading Liquid Staking Protocol
[url=https://ldofili.com/]lido finance staking[/url]
Lido Finance is a decentralized platform that enables users to stake their cryptocurrencies and earn staking rewards while maintaining liquidity through tokenized assets. It is one of the most popular liquid staking solutions in the DeFi ecosystem, supporting multiple blockchains including Ethereum, Solana, and more.
Lido Overview
Lido allows users to stake their assets without locking them up, providing flexibility and liquidity. When users stake their tokens via Lido, they receive a corresponding staked token (e.g., stETH for Ethereum), which can be used in other DeFi protocols, traded, or held for rewards.
Lido Fi
Lido Fi refers to the broader ecosystem of decentralized finance activities built around Lido’s staking tokens. It includes yield farming, liquidity pools, and integrations with various DeFi platforms, enabling users to maximize their crypto assets' utility.
Lido Staking
Lido staking involves depositing supported cryptocurrencies (like ETH, SOL, or others) into the Lido protocol. In return, users receive staked tokens that accrue staking rewards over time. This process is designed to be user-friendly, secure, and accessible to both individual and institutional investors.
Lido Finance ETH Staking
Lido Finance ETH staking is one of its flagship features, allowing users to stake ETH without needing to run a validator node. By staking ETH through Lido, users receive stETH, which represents their staked ETH plus accrued rewards, and can be used across DeFi applications.
Lido Finance Crypto
Lido finance crypto encompasses the native tokens (like stETH for Ethereum, stSOL for Solana, etc.), governance tokens, and other assets within the Lido ecosystem. These tokens facilitate staking, liquidity provision, and governance participation. |
|
|
curve finance borrow Curve Finance: Leading DeFi Liquidity and Stablecoin Protocol
[url=https://crvfili.com/]curve finance liquidity pool[/url]
Curve Finance is a decentralized exchange (DEX) optimized for stablecoin and low-volatility asset trading. Known for its efficient liquidity pools and low slippage, Curve has become a cornerstone in the DeFi ecosystem for stable asset swaps and liquidity provision.
Curve Fi
Curve Fi refers to the platform's core protocol that enables users to swap stablecoins and other similar assets with minimal slippage and low fees. It leverages specialized liquidity pools to facilitate efficient trading.
Curve Finance Crypto
Curve finance crypto encompasses the native tokens (such as CRV), liquidity provider tokens, and other assets within the Curve ecosystem. These tokens are used for governance, staking, and earning rewards.
Curve DeFi
Curve DeFi describes the broader decentralized finance ecosystem built around Curve’s liquidity pools and protocols. It includes yield farming, liquidity mining, and integrations with other DeFi platforms like Yearn, Convex, and more.
Curve Finance Liquidity Pool
A Curve liquidity pool is a smart contract that holds assets like stablecoins or similar tokens, allowing users to deposit and earn fees or rewards. These pools are optimized for low slippage and high efficiency, supporting large trading volumes.
Curve Finance Borrow
While primarily known for liquidity provision and swaps, Curve also supports borrowing mechanisms indirectly through integrations with lending protocols like Aave or Compound, where users can collateralize assets and borrow against their liquidity pool tokens. |
|
|
Striking images showing environmental destruction aim to ‘inspire action’ Tree-covered mountains rise behind a pile of trash, children run through the orange haze of a dust storm, and a billboard standing on parched earth indicates where the seashore used to be before desertification took hold. These striking images, exhibited as part of the Right Here, Right Now Global Climate Summit, show the devastating effects of climate change.
[url=https://kra34c.cc]kraken tor[/url]
The summit, held at the University of Oxford in the UK and supported by UN Human Rights (OHCHR), aims to reframe climate change as a human rights crisis and spotlight climate solutions. It works with everyone from policymakers to artists to get the message across.
“Photographers document the human rights impacts of climate change, helping to inform the public and hold governments and businesses accountable,” said Volker Turk, UN High Commissioner for the OHCHR, via email. “The Right Here, Right Now Global Climate Summit shows the power of collective action — uniting storytellers, scientists, indigenous leaders, and others to advance climate solutions rooted in human rights.”
Coinciding with World Environment Day on June 5, the exhibition — titled “Photography 4 Humanity: A Lens on Climate Justice” — features the work of 31 photographers from across the globe, all documenting the effects of global warming and environmental pollution on their own communities.
Climate change disproportionately affects vulnerable populations around the world. Despite emitting far fewer greenhouse gases, low-income nations are suffering the most from extreme weather events and have fewer resources to adapt or recover.
Photographs at the exhibition show the effects of desertification, flooding and plastic pollution. A black and white image shows the ruins of a house in West Bengal, India, sloping towards the Ganges River, with the owner sitting alongside. Riverbank erosion is degrading the environment and displacing communities in the area. Photographer Masood Sarwer said in a press release that the photo depicts the “slow violence” of climate change: “These are not sudden disasters, but slow-moving, relentless ones — shaping a new category of environmental refugees.”
Another photo, taken by Aung Chan Thar, shows children fishing for trash in Inle Lake, Myanmar. The lake was once a pristine natural wonder but now faces the growing threat of plastic pollution. “This image of children cleaning the water symbolizes the importance of education and collective action in preserving our environment for a sustainable future,” he said.
Organizers hope that the exhibition will help to humanize the climate crisis. “Our mission is to inspire new perspectives through photography,” said Pauline Benthede, global vice president of artistic direction and exhibitions at Fotografiska, the museum of photography, art and culture that is curating the exhibition at the summit. “It draws attention to the human rights issue at the heart of global warming, which affects both the world’s landscapes and the people that live within them.”
“Photography is the most influential and inclusive art form of our times and has the power to foster understanding and inspire action,” she added. |
|
|
пинап кз Scientists mapped what happens if a crucial system of ocean currents collapses. The weather impact would be extreme
[url=https://pin-up-casino-online.kz/]pin up промокод бездепозитный бонус[/url]
The collapse of a crucial network of Atlantic Ocean currents could push parts of the world into a deep freeze, with winter temperatures plunging to around minus 55 degrees Fahrenheit in some cities, bringing “profound climate and societal impacts,” according to a new study.
There is increasing concern about the future of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation — known as the AMOC — a system of currents that works like a giant conveyor belt, pulling warm water from the Southern Hemisphere and tropics to the Northern Hemisphere, where it cools, sinks and flows back south.
Multiple studies suggest the AMOC is weakening with some projecting it could even collapse this century as global warming disrupts the balance of heat and salinity that keeps it moving. This would usher in huge global weather and climate shifts — including plunging temperatures in Europe, which relies on the AMOC for its mild climate.
What’s less clear, however, is how these impacts will unfold in a world heated up by humans burning fossil fuels.
“What if the AMOC collapses and we have climate change? Does the cooling win or does the warming win?” asked Rene van Westen, a marine and atmospheric researcher at Utrecht University in the Netherlands and co-author of the paper published Wednesday in the Geophysical Research Letters journal.
This new study is the first to use a modern, complex climate model to answer the question, he told CNN.
The researchers looked at a scenario where the AMOC weakens by 80% and the Earth is around 2 degrees Celsius warmer than the period before humans began burning large amounts of fossil fuels. The planet is currently at 1.2 degrees of warming.
They focused on what would happen as the climate stabilized post-collapse, multiple decades into the future.
Even in this hotter world, they found “substantial cooling” over Europe with sharp drops in average winter temperatures and more intense cold extremes — a very different picture than the United States, where the study found temperatures would continue to increase even with an AMOC collapse.
Sea ice would spread southward as far as Scandinavia, parts of the United Kingdom and the Netherlands, the research found. This would have a huge impact on cold extremes as the white surface of the ice reflects the sun’s energy back into space, amplifying cooling.
The scientists have created an interactive map to visualize the impacts of an AMOC collapse across the globe. |
|
|
Londoners are paying to live in deserted schools, office blocks and an old cathedral to avoid ‘insane’ rents London
CNN
—
Opposite a bed in central London, light filters through a stained-glass window depicting, in fragments of copper and blue, Jesus Christ.
[url=https://www-bs2web.ru]bslp[/url]
Three people have lived in the deserted cathedral in the past two years, with each occupant — an electrician, a sound engineer and a journalist — paying a monthly fee to live in the priest’s quarters.
[url=https://bsme-at.ru]спрут[/url]
The cathedral is managed by Live-in Guardians, a company finding occupants for disused properties, including schools, libraries and pubs, across Britain. The residents — so-called property guardians — pay a fixed monthly “license fee,” which is usually much lower than the typical rent in the same area.
[url=https://bs2web.de]blacksprut сайт[/url]
Applications to become guardians are going “through the roof,” with more people in their late thirties and forties signing on than in the past, said Arthur Duke, the founder and managing director of Live-in Guardians.
[url=https://bsprut.cc]спрут зеркало[/url]
“That’s been brought about by the cost-of-living crisis,” he said. “People are looking for cheaper ways to live.”
blacksprut2rprrt3aoigwh7zftiprzqyqynzz2eiimmwmykw7wkpyad.onion
https://at-bs2best-at.ru |
|
|
The U.S. and China are copying each other, giving rise to memes and mockery President Donald Trump wants to bring back American manufacturing in ways that would reshape the United States economy to look more like China’s. The campaign, which has led to a rapidly escalating trade war with China, has given ample social media fodder to Chinese and American observers alike.
[url=https://2bs2bestat.ru]bs2best at[/url]
Announcing a series of sweeping tariffs in a move dubbed “Liberation Day,” Trump said last week that it will lead factories to move production back to American shores, boosting the U.S. economy after “foreign leaders have stolen our jobs, foreign cheaters have ransacked our factories, and foreign scavengers have torn apart our once beautiful American dream.”
[url=https://bs2weba.at]bs2best at[/url]
In a Truth Social post Wednesday, Trump announced that he is raising tariffs on goods imported from China to 125%, up from the 104% that took effect the same day, due to “the lack of respect that China has shown to the World’s Markets.” Higher targeted tariffs on other countries have been paused for 90 days, although the 10% baseline tariff will remain in place for all countries.
[url=https://1-bs2best-at.ru]bs2best.at[/url]
Meme-makers and Chinese government officials have in recent days begun pointing out the irony of Trump’s tariff-driven manufacturing pivot through AI-generated satire and political cartoons that have percolated online, with many American users boosting the jokes.
bsme at
https://m-bsme.ru |
|
|
How Trump changed his mind on tariffs WASHINGTON — “Liberation Day” just gave way to Capitulation Day.
[url=https://skyiwredshjnhjgeleladu7m7mgpuxgsnfxzhncwtvmhr7l5bniutayd-onion.net]skyiwredshjnhjgeleladu7m7mgpuxgsnfxzhncwtvmhr7l5bniutayd[/url]
President Donald Trump pulled back Wednesday on a series of harsh tariffs targeting friends and foes alike in an audacious bid to remake the global economic order.
Trump's early afternoon announcement followed a harrowing week in which Republican lawmakers and confidants privately warned him that the tariffs could wreck the economy. His own aides had quietly raised alarms about the financial markets before he suspended a tariff regime that he had unveiled with a flourish just one week earlier in a Rose Garden ceremony.
Follow live politics coverage here
[url=https://abs-meat.ru]skyiwredshjnhjgeleladu7m7mgpuxgsnfxzhncwtvmhr7l5bniutayd onion[/url]
The stock market rose immediately after the about-face, ending days of losses that have forced older Americans who've been sinking their savings into 401(k)s to rethink their retirement plans.
Ahead of Trump's announcement, some of his advisers had been in a near panic about the bond markets, according to a senior administration official. Interest rates on 10-year Treasury bonds had been rising, contrary to what normally happens when stock prices fall and investors seek safety in treasuries. The unusual dynamic meant that at the same time the tariffs could push up prices, people would be paying more to buy homes or pay off credit card debt because of higher interest rates. Businesses looking to expand would pay more for new loans.
[url=https://skyiwredshjnhjgeleladu7m7mgpuxgsnfxzhncwtvmhr7l5bniutayd.shop]blackspfgh3bi6im374fgl54qliir6to37txpkkd6ucfiu7whfy2odid onion[/url]
Two of Trump's most senior advisers, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, presented a united front Wednesday, urging him to suspend the tariffs in light of the bond market, the administration official said.
In a social media post, Trump announced a 90-day pause that he said he’ll use to negotiate deals with dozens of countries that have expressed openness to revising trade terms that he contends exploit American businesses and workers. One exception is China. Trump upped the tariff on the country’s biggest geopolitical rival to 125%, part of a tit-for-tat escalation in an evolving trade war.
Trump reversed course one week after he appeared in the Rose Garden and unveiled his plan to bring jobs back to the United States. Displaying a chart showing the new, elevated tariffs that countries would face, Trump proclaimed, “My fellow Americans, this is Liberation Day.”
skyiwredshjnhjgeleladu7m7mgpuxgsnfxzhncwtvmhr7l5bniutayd
https://a-bsme.ru |
|
|
Где читать и слушать новости на английском языке Elon Musk stood next to President Donald Trump in the Oval Office on Friday, but the physical proximity belied a growing philosophical divide between two of the world's most powerful men, resulting in the tech mogul's abrupt announcement that he is departing Washington — without having achieved his goal of decimating the federal government.
[url=https://kra---33--at.ru]kra33 at[/url]
Trump took a more charitable view of Musk's tenure during a sprawling news conference in which he also declined to rule out pardoning Sean "Diddy" Combs, who is on trial on charges of sex trafficking and other alleged crimes; said he dislikes "the concept" of former first lady Jill Biden being forced to testify before Congress about her husband's mental fitness; and predicted again that Iran is on the cusp of making a deal that would suspend its pursuit of nuclear weapons.
[url=https://kra-33cc.com]kra33.cc[/url]
In a battle of plutocrats against populists, Bannon, a longtime advocate for reducing the size and scope of government, found Musk's methods and policy preferences to be sharply at odds with those of the MAGA movement. So, ultimately, did Musk, who broke with Trump repeatedly on agenda items as narrow as limiting visas for foreign workers and as broad as Trump's signature "big beautiful" budget bill — which Musk belittled for threatening to add trillions of dollars to the national debt.
“I was, like, disappointed to see the massive spending bill, frankly, which increases the budget deficit, not just decrease it, and undermines the work that the DOGE team is doing," Musk said in an interview with CBS' "Sunday Morning," which will air this weekend.
[url=https://kra-33---cc.ru]kra33 СЃСЃ[/url]
"I love the gold on the ceiling," he said.
Musk has argued that inertia throttled his efforts to reduce government spending — a conclusion that raises questions about whether he was naive about the challenge of the mission he undertook.
“The federal bureaucracy situation is much worse than I realized,” he told The Washington Post this week. “I thought there were problems, but it sure is an uphill battle trying to improve things in D.C., to say the least.”
On Friday, he drew an implicit parallel between American government and the Nazi regime that committed a genocide, invoking the "banality of evil" that Hannah Arendt used to describe the atrocities in Germany.
kra33 cc
https://kra-33---cc.ru |
|
|
Best SEO services close me https://newxboxone.ru/v-kakih-sluchayah-101-roza-stanet-otlichnym-podarkom |
|
|
XRumer seo run https://discover24.ru/2025/03/kak-vybrat-idealnyy-buket-polnyy-gid-po-tsvetam-dlya-lyubogo-sluchaya/ |
|
|
Seo service [url=https://555rr1.net/game/]555 rr app[/url] |
|
|
Placing the site on quality trust sites http://newsverse.5nx.ru/viewtopic.php?t=1102
|
|
|
ethena finance crypto Ethena: The Future of Crypto and DeFi Innovation
Ethena is rapidly emerging as a prominent name in the world of cryptocurrency and decentralized finance (DeFi). With a focus on security, innovation, and user-centric solutions, Ethena is shaping the future of digital assets and financial protocols. Let’s explore the key aspects associated with Ethena, including its platforms, tokens, and ecosystem.
[url=https://etenfili.com/]ethena usde[/url]
Ethena Overview
Ethena is a blockchain project dedicated to creating secure, scalable, and user-friendly DeFi solutions. Its ecosystem encompasses various components such as Ethena Fi, Ethena Lab, and its native tokens like Ethena USDE. The project aims to bridge traditional finance with innovative crypto solutions, making decentralized finance accessible to a broader audience.
Ethena Fi
Ethena Fi is the decentralized finance platform built on the Ethena ecosystem. It offers a suite of financial products including lending, borrowing, staking, and yield farming. Ethena Fi emphasizes security and transparency, providing users with reliable tools to grow their crypto assets.
Ethena Finance
Ethena Finance refers to the broader financial ecosystem powered by Ethena’s blockchain technology. It integrates various DeFi protocols, enabling seamless asset management, liquidity provision, and crypto trading. Ethena Finance aims to create a comprehensive financial environment where users can leverage their crypto holdings efficiently.
Ethena Lab
Ethena Lab is the innovation hub within the Ethena ecosystem. It focuses on research, development, and testing of new blockchain solutions, smart contracts, and DeFi protocols. Ethena Lab drives continuous innovation, ensuring the platform remains at the forefront of crypto technology.
Ethena USDE
Ethena USDE is the native stablecoin of the Ethena ecosystem. Pegged to a stable asset, USDE provides a reliable medium of exchange within the platform, facilitating smooth transactions, lending, and borrowing activities. It aims to maintain stability while offering the benefits of decentralization.
Ethena Finance Crypto
Ethena Finance crypto encompasses the entire range of digital assets, tokens, and protocols developed under the Ethena project. It includes the native tokens, stablecoins, and other crypto assets that facilitate DeFi operations, liquidity pools, and decentralized trading. |
|
|
aerodrome finance base Aerodrome Finance: Innovations and Opportunities
In today's evolving landscape, the development of aerodrome infrastructure and related financial tools is becoming increasingly significant. This article explores key aspects of aerodrome finance, along with emerging trends in decentralized finance (DeFi), such as aerodrome swap, aerodrome exchange, and aerodrome DEX.
[url=https://aerfili.com/]aerodrome exchange[/url]
What is Aerodrome Finance?
Aerodrome finance refers to the integration of traditional aerodrome operations with modern financial technologies, enabling optimized management of assets, investments, and operations at aerodrome bases. This concept involves creating specialized aerodrome bases that serve as platforms for financial transactions and investment activities.
Aerodrome Base
An aerodrome base is a foundational platform that combines aerodrome infrastructure with financial instruments. It provides transparency, security, and efficiency in asset management and acts as a core for implementing innovative financial solutions.
Aerodrome Swap
An aerodrome swap is a financial instrument allowing participants to exchange assets or liabilities related to aerodrome infrastructure. Such swaps help manage risks associated with fluctuations in asset values or currency exchange rates.
Aerodrome Exchange
An aerodrome exchange is a marketplace for trading assets linked to aerodromes, including tokens representing infrastructure or other financial instruments. It ensures liquidity and market access for investors and operators.
Aerodrome DeFi Solutions
Aerodrome DeFi involves applying decentralized finance protocols within the aerodrome sector. This includes establishing aerodrome finance bases where users can obtain loans, participate in liquidity pools, and earn yields by providing liquidity.
Aerodrome DEX
An aerodrome DEX is a decentralized exchange that facilitates token swaps without intermediaries. This aerodrome DEX promotes local market development and enhances access to financial services for industry participants. |
|
|
порно жесткий секс There’s a ‘ghost hurricane’ in the forecast. It could help predict a real one
<a href=https://alexnews.ru/page/bestway-sud>порно анальный секс</a>
A scary-looking weather forecast showing a hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast in the second half of June swirled around social media this week—but don’t panic.
It’s the season’s first “ghost hurricane.”
Similar hype plays out every hurricane season, especially at the beginning: A cherry-picked, worst-case-scenario model run goes viral, but more often than not, will never come to fruition.
Unofficially dubbed “ghost storms” or “ghost hurricanes,” these tropical systems regularly appear in weather models — computer simulations that help meteorologists forecast future conditions — but never seem to manifest in real life.
The model responsible this week was the Global Forecast System, also known as the GFS or American model, run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It’s one of many used by forecasters around the world.
All models have known biases or “quirks” where they tend to overpredict or underpredict certain things. The GFS is known to overpredict tropical storms and hurricanes in longer-term forecasts that look more than a week into the future, which leads to these false alarms. The GFS isn’t alone in this — all models struggle to accurately predict tropical activity that far in advance — but it is notorious for doing so.
For example, the GFS could spit out a prediction for a US hurricane landfall about 10 days from now, only to have that chance completely disappear as the forecast date draws closer. This can occur at any time of the year, but is most frequent during hurricane season — June through November.
It’s exactly what’s been happening over the past week as forecasters keep an eye out for the first storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Why so many ghosts?
No weather forecast model is designed in the exact same way as another, and that’s why each can generate different results with similar data.
The reason the GFS has more false alarms when looking more than a week out than similar models – like Europe’s ECMWF, Canada’s CMC or the United Kingdom’s UKM – is because that’s exactly what it’s programmed to do, according to Alicia Bentley, the global verification project lead of NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Center.
The GFS was built with a “weak parameterized cumulus convection scheme,” according to Bentley. In plain language, that means when the GFS thinks there could be thunderstorms developing in an area where tropical systems are possible – over the oceans – it’s more likely to jump to the conclusion that something tropical will develop than to ignore it.
Other models aren’t built to be quite as sensitive to this phenomenon, and so they don’t show a tropical system until they’re more confident the right conditions are in place, which usually happens when the forecast gets closer in time.
The western Caribbean Sea is one of the GFS’ favorite places to predict a ghost storm. That’s because of the Central American gyre: a large, disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms that rotates over the region and its surrounding water. |
|
|
Gichardrhymn
Hello, yes this piece of writing is actually pleasant and I have learned lot of things from it regarding blogging. thanks.
<a href=https://www.darb-card.icu/>abu dhabi bus recharge</a> |
|
|
Hausse des prix, zones non-fumeurs Les adherents du parti Les Republicains sont appeles a voter, samedi et dimanche, pour choisir leur futur president. Mais entre Bruno Retailleau et Laurent Wauquiez, peu de differences ideologiques existent : a l’image de ce qu’est devenu leur parti depuis 2017, tous deux font campagne a droite toute en misant sur les questions d’immigration et de securite.
<a href=https://kra--33cc.ru>kra33 cc</a>
Publie le : 16/05/2025 - 10:45
Modifie le : 16/05/2025 - 10:52
6 minTemps de lecture
<a href=https://kra-33cc.ru>kra33</a>
Par :
Romain BRUNET
Laurent Wauquiez et Bruno Retailleau, le 19 septembre 2024, arrivant a Matignon.
Laurent Wauquiez et Bruno Retailleau, le 19 septembre 2024, arrivant a Matignon. © Ludovic Marin, AFP
Apres plusieurs semaines de campagne, difficile de savoir qui de Bruno Retailleau ou Laurent Wauquiez remportera la presidence du parti Les Republicains (LR). Les adherents du parti de droite sont invites a les departager, samedi 17 et dimanche 18 mai, pour choisir celui qui incarnera desormais LR, avec en toile de fond l’election presidentielle de 2027.
Mais comment choisir entre deux candidats presentant si peu de differences de ligne ideologique ? Bruno Retailleau et Laurent Wauquiez placent constamment l’immigration et la securite au centre de leurs discours. Si bien que pour exister face a un candidat-ministre devenu favori et omnipresent dans les medias, l’ancien president de la region Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes s’est senti oblige de jouer la surenchere en proposant, le 8 avril dans le JDNews, "que les etrangers dangereux sous OQTF <Obligation>de quitter le territoire francais] soient enfermes dans un centre de retention a Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon, hors de l’Hexagone".
kra33 at
https://kra-33---at.ru |
 |
|
|
